Risk and Return
The higher the uncertainty, the higher the risk:
Fluctuations in value (variability in returns also causes risk)
Why assets go up and down:
Systematic risk factors effect all assets in that class.
T-bonds only have systematic risk.
Stocks not everything, Real estate not everything
Non systematic or specific risk effect company or industry as opposed
to the market overall.
The smaller the company the more specific risk.
The larger the company the more systematic risk.
The weaker they are financially the more specific risk associated with
the investment
CAPM quantifies risk and return - Used for expected rates of return
Types of Risk:
Specific risk - The risk associated with buying only one stock
(the market has a good day but your stock doesn't).
Systematic risk effect all assets in that class (the market
has a bad day so your stock does too).
Interest Rate risk
Risk is the possibility of a loss
Risk Categories:
Dynamic Associated with changes in the economy
Static With or without changes in the economy
Pure Chance of loss or no loss
Speculative Chance of loss or gain
Only Pure risks are normally insurable.
Ways to deal with risk:
Avoid it
Retain it
Reduce it
Transfer it
Share it
Insurance transfers risk from individual to group
Gambling creates risk Insurance avoids it
Rules of risk:
- Dont risk more than you can afford to lose
- Consider the odds
- Dont risk a lot for a little
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