The Markets
Two ways to try to beat the stock market:
1. Market timing – When prices are rising and falling; get in and out
of the stock market to buy low and sell high.
Problem – Very difficult to know if stock prices are going
up or down.
Caveat - To recover costs of marking timing (being
out of the market at the wrong time) you need to be correct in your timing
about three quarters of the time.
2. Fundamental analysis – buying only the best stocks (through selection
techniques)
Problem, everyone else is already doing this.
If you find one of these, it won’t stay undervalued
for long.
Types:
Weak market– past history of company is of no use towards future stock price.
(No rear view mirror investing)
Semi strong market– all public information is already reflected in
stock
Strong market– all public and all non-public information is
already reflected in stock price
Weak
= true semi = maybe strong = not true
Efficient market - prices quickly adjust to what is going on
because of the speed information hits the market.
This means that if it is a 100% efficient market,
it would be impossible to beat the market.
If things are not priced efficiently, temporary arbitrage
will exist.
Stock Markets:
Trading for NYSE listed stocks:
New York
NASD
Chicago
Pacific
Boston
Cincinnati
Philidelphia
CBOE
|